Fans have calculated the chance of obtaining the ultra-rare Aberrant Observer set for Pudge in Dota 2. It almost certainly drops for users only when opening the hundredth chest.
To have a 50% chance of getting the item, players need to open 43 chests. Their total cost is 109 euros (~10,000 rubles).
Chances of getting the Aberrant Observer set for Pudge:
- Chance from 1 chest — 0.001%;
- Chance from 2 chests — 0.005%;
- Chance from 3 chests — 0.016%;
- Chance from 4 chests — 0.041%;
- Chance from 5 chests — 0.1%;
- Chance from 6 chests — 0.2%;
- Chance from 7 chests — 0.2%;
- Chance from 8 chests — 0.4%;
- Chance from 9 chests — 0.5%;
- Chance from 10 chests — 0.8%;
- Chance from 20 chests — 6.4%;
- Chance from 50 chests — 65.4%;
- Chance from 100 chests — 98.3%.
The Aberrant Observer was added to the Collector's Cache 2024 chest, which was introduced in the game along with the third act of the Crownfall event, titled "Icewrack's Frost."